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Burma Needs Political Reforms



Burma Needs Political Reforms
By Julien Moe
15th November

Burma's generals have been told by the World Bank that  the former must
perform major political and human rights reforms to be back on track
financially. The report was handed over into the hands of the generals on a
confidential basis. The report was also given to Opposition Leader Aung San
Suu Kyi. The action was an initiative of the World Bank to diffuse the
political gridlock between the military junta and NLD, the democtatically
elected opposition party. The report was delivered by UN  Assistant
Secretary General Alvaro De Soto.
Source:World Bank


 









                                  LOW INCOME
I. Overall Performance:
 GNP per capita (US$) 1995
                                                                $388
                                                                            
   49*
 Average Annual Growth of GNP per capita (%) 1970-1995
                                                               0.19%
                                                                            
   38*
 Standard Deviation of Income Distribution
                                                               16.51
                                                                            
   26*


II. Macro and Market Dynamism

Investment and Productivity Growth 
 Gross Domestic Investment (% of GDP) 1995
                                                             19.68%
                                                                            
   47*
 Average Annual growth of Gross Domestic Investment (%)
 1990-1995
                                                              4.45%
                                                                            
   41*
 Private Investment (% of Gross Domestic Fixed Investment)
 1995
                                                             46.29%
                                                                            
   14*
 Net Foreign Direct Investment FDI (% of GDP) 1995
                                                              1.26%
                                                                            
   49*
 Average Annual Difference in Net FDI (%) 1980-82 to 1990-92
                                                              -0.64%
                                                                            
   36*
 Average Annual Growth of Real GDP per worker (%) 1980-90
                                                              -0.11%
                                                                            
   39*


Overall Trade Dimensions 
 Trade Surplus/Deficit (% of GDP) 1994
                                                              -14.0%
                                                                            
   46*
 Export Share of World Trade (%) 1994
                                                            0.0796%
                                                                            
   46*
 Average Annual Growth in Export Share (%) 1989-95
                                                                N/A
                                                                            
 N/A*
 Export Concentration Index 1992
                                                                0.43
                                                                            
   27*
 Percent Change in Export Concentration Index (%) 1988-92
                                                             1.116%
                                                                            
   45*


Export Competitiveness 
 Average Annual Nominal Export Growth (%) 88-89 to 93-94
                                                                4.8%
                                                                            
   44*
 Export Growth from World Demand (%) 88-89 to 93-94
                                                                5.1%
                                                                            
   44*
 Export Growth from Market Share (%) 88-89 to 93-94
                                                               -1.3%
                                                                            
   44*
 Export Growth from Market Diversification (%) 88-89 to 93-94
                                                                1.1%
                                                                            
   44*


Export Structure 
 Manufactured Exports (% of total exports) 1993
                                                               27.97%
                                                                            
   34*
 Percent Change in Share of Manufactured Exports (%)1980-93
                                                              174.70%
                                                                            
   31*
 High Tech. Exports (% of manufactured exports) 1995
                                                               11.25%
                                                                            
   12*


Trade Policy 
 Mean Tariff (%) 1990-93
                                                                25.7%
                                                                            
   29*
 Standard Deviation of Tariff Rates (%) 1990-93
                                                                15.8%
                                                                            
  23*
 Percent of Products covered by Non-Tariff Barriers (%)
 1990-93
                                                                33.5%
                                                                            
   20*


Government Involvement in the Economy 
 Government Consumption (% of GDP) 1995
                                                               13.0%
                                                                            
  46*
 Average Annual Growth of Government Consumption (%)
 1990-95
                                                               -1.0%
                                                                            
  39*
 Value Added of State Owned Enterprises SOE (% of GDP)
 1986-91
                                                               11.2%
                                                                            
  22*
 SOE's Investment (% of Gross Domestic Fixed Investment)
 1986-91
                                                               26.0%
                                                                            
  21*
 Government Surplus/Deficit (% of GDP) 1994
                                                               -3.8%
                                                                            
  17*


III. Financial Dynamism
 Net Present Value of External Debt (% GDP) 1995
                                                               85.5%
                                                                            
  49*
 Growth in Total External Debt (%) 1980-94
                                                              267.3%
                                                                            
  36*
 Average Outstanding Money M2 (% of GDP) 1995
                                                               27.2%
                                                                            
  43*
 Average Annual Growth Rate of GDP Deflator (%) 1990-95
                                                            119.208%
                                                                            
  48*
 Credit to Private Sector (% of GDP) 1995
                                                              15.94%
                                                                            
  44*
 Stock Market Capitalization (% of GDP) 1995
                                                               14.8%
                                                                            
  14*
 Real Interest Rate (%) 1995
                                                               -3.1%
                                                                            
  28*


IV. Infrastructure & Investment Climate 

Information and Communication Network 
 Phone Lines (Number per 1000 people) 1995
                                                                 17.2
                                                                            
  50*
 Phone Faults (Number per 100 lines) 1992 
                                                                 59.3
                                                                            
  50*
 Waiting Time for a Line (Years) 1994
                                                                 5.31
                                                                            
  50*
 Average Price per Call (US$ per 3 minutes call) 1995
                                                               $11.60
                                                                            
  37*
 Televisions (Number per 1000 people) 1995
                                                                 65.1
                                                                            
  50*
 Internet Hosts (Number per 1000 people) 1996
                                                                  0.1
                                                                            
  36*
 Personal Computers (Number per 1000 people) 1995
                                                                  1.6
                                                                            
  16*
 Fax Machines (Number per 1000 people) 1995
                                                                  0.3
                                                                            
  36*
 Newspaper Circulation (Number of newpapers per 1000
 people) 1992
                                                                  9.8
                                                                            
  50*


Physical Infrastructure 
 Paved Road Density (Km of paved road per million people)
 1995
                                                               769.0
                                                                            
  49*
 Air City Pairs 1996
                                                                49.7
                                                                            
  50*
 Electric Power System Losses (% of total power output) 1994
                                                              16.1%
                                                                            
  31*


Socio-Political Stability 
 Corruption Index 1996
                                                                2.45
                                                                            
   6*
 Organized Labor (% Labor Force) 1992
                                                             26.74%
                                                                            
  29*


V. Human and Intellectual Capital

Human Capital 
 Literacy Rate (%) 1995 
                                                              53.9%
                                                                            
  41*
 Growth in Literacy Rate 1970-95
                                                             120.6%
                                                                            
  30*
 Primary School Enroll. (% of school-aged children) 1993
                                                              80.9%
                                                                            
  41*
 Secondary School Enroll. (% of school-aged children) 1993
                                                              29.5%
                                                                            
  39*
 Tertiary School Enroll. (% of school-aged children) 1993
                                                               7.9%
                                                                            
  28*
 Secondary Technical Enroll. (% sec.enroll.) Average 1988-91
                                                               7.5%
                                                                            
  38*
 Life Expectancy at Birth (Years) 1994
                                                               54.6
                                                                            
  50*
 Growth in Life Expectancy (%) 1960-94
                                                              28.7%
                                                                            
  50*


Intellectual Capital 
 Science Graduates (% total graduates) Average 1988-90
                                                            15.960%
                                                                            
  50*
 Scientists & technicians (Number per 1000 people) 1988-91
                                                                 0.4
                                                                            
  14*
 Average Research & Development Expenditures (% of GNP)
 81-92
                                                               0.4%
                                                                            
  10*
 Patent Applications 1995
                                                               9336
                                                                            
  28*
 Patents granted 1995
                                                                255
                                                                            
  28*



* Number of Observations from which average was computed
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