Description:
"In the six months since the previous
East Asia and Pacific Economic Update
, the regional economic
landscape has been dominated by two key developments in the global economy. First, there has been a
sustained decline in world oil prices. This is already exerting, and will likely continue to exert, a differential
impact on the performance and prospects of countries, depending on whether they are fuel importers or
exporters. Second, there has been a rapid dollar appreciation against the euro and the yen. Most regional
currencies have depreciated to only a limited extent against the dollar, implying significant appreciations
in real, trade-weighted terms. Growth in developing East Asia and Pacific moderated from 7.2 percent in 2013 to 6.9 percent in 2014,
reflecting slowdowns in China and some ASEAN-4 economies.
Nonetheless, the region still accounted
for more than one-third of global growth, twice the combined contribution of all other developing regions.
In China, growth decelerated by 0.3 percentage points, as attempts to contain credit growth and reduce
overcapacity were partly offset by measures to avoid a sharp slowdown. In the rest of the region, growth fell
by 0.6 percentage points. Within the ASEAN-4, growth dropped most sharply in Thailand, to 0.7 percent, as a
result of prolonged political turmoil; the economy began to recover only in late 2014. Indonesia was affected
by weakness in its terms of trade and commodity exports, and by the continued impact of policy tightening
aimed at addressing external financing constraints. Growth remained generally robust in the region?s smaller
economies, including Cambodia, Lao PDR, and Myanmar. Most countries continued to rebuild the fiscal buffers eroded by stimulus spending in the wake of the
global financial crisis, but challenges remain.
Fiscal balances broadly continued to improve, particularly in
Malaysia and the Philippines. Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam further rationalized fuel subsidies or
raised fuel taxes. However, in Mongolia and to a lesser extent Lao PDR, both deficit and debt levels remain
elevated; in Myanmar, a sizable deficit has emerged; in Vietnam, public debt continues to rise; and Malaysia?s
public debt remains high..."
Source/publisher:
World Bank Group
Date of Publication:
2015-04-00
Date of entry:
2015-05-07
Grouping:
- Individual Documents
Category:
Language:
English